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Dover Fantasy Racing Preview

Driver Averages | Laps Led Leaders | Driver Ratings | Past Winners

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Sunday’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Gander RV 400 at Dover International Speedway.

Who’s HOT at Dover

  • Defending race winner Kevin Harvick has combined to lead 487 laps in the last two races.
  • Martin Truex Jr. has finished in the top five in four of the last five races, including a win in the 2016 fall race.
  • Kyle Busch is a three-time winner and has the best average finish this season in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package.
  • Jimmie Johnson has finished on the top 10 in four of the last five races, which includes his 11th win, coming in the 2017 spring race.
  • Chase Elliott, winner of last year’s fall race, leads all drivers with a 4.3 average finish.
  • Daniel Suarez is the only driver that has finished in the top 10 in each of the last four races.

Keep an Eye On at Dover

  • Kyle Larson, who combined to lead 378 laps in 2017, has posted a 7.3 average finish in the last four Dover races.
  • Larson, Austin Dillon and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. participated in the Goodyear tire test at Dover.
  • Brad Keselowski, the 2012 fall Dover winner, has finished in the top 10 in two of the last three Dover races and led 108 laps in this event in 2018.
  • A broken axle in the 2017 fall race relegated Denny Hamlin to a 35th-place finish, his only outside the top 10 in the last six races at Dover.
  • Clint Bowyer (7.0), Kurt Busch (8.0), Joey Logano (8.5) and Ryan Blaney (9.0) each rank in the top 10 in average finish in the four races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package.
  • Ryan Newman has finished in the top 10 in the last three races this season.

Notes: Dover will mark the fifth race this season that will utilize the 750 horsepower rules package with no aero ducts…Kyle Busch (2), Brad Keselowski and Martin Truex Jr have gone to Victory Lane in those races…This weekend teams will run a new tire set-up that was confirmed at a test last month…The second starting position has produced the most race winners (18)…Forty-five percent of race winners have come from a top three starting spot…Jimmie Johnson was the last driver to win from the pole in 2010…Chevrolet has won eight of the last 12 races at Dover.

*Best Average Finish at Dover

Last # of Races Driver Average Finish
Two Races Kevin Harvick 3.5
Four Races Chase Elliott 5.0
Six Races Chase Elliott 4.3
*Eight Races Martin Truex Jr. 6.6
*Ten Races Martin Truex Jr. 6.6

*Must have competed in every race in that span

Laps Led Leaders at Dover

Last # of Races Driver Laps Led
Two Races Kevin Harvick 487
Four Races Kevin Harvick 487
Six Races Kevin Harvick 604
Eight Races Kevin Harvick 1,050
Ten Races Kevin Harvick 1,297

Click Here to view all laps led leaders at Dover over the past 10 races.

Dover Loop Data Stat Leaders (Last Six Races)

Average Running Pos. Laps in Top 15
 1. Martin Truex Jr. – 4.7  1. Martin Truex Jr. – 2,344
 2. Chase Elliott – 8.2  2. Chase Elliott – 2,301
 3. Kyle Busch – 8.5  3. Kyle Busch – 2,048
 4. Brad Keselowski – 10.4  4. Brad Keselowski – 1,984
 5. Kevin Harvick – 11.2  5. Denny Hamlin – 1,903
Fastest Laps Run Driver Rating
 1. Kevin Harvick – 355  1. Martin Truex Jr. – 119.8
 2. Martin Truex Jr. – 263  2. Kevin Harvick – 109.6
 3. Kyle Larson – 189  3. Chase Elliott – 105.0
 4. Jimmie Johnson – 183  4. Kyle Busch – 103.1
 5. Kyle Busch – 169  5. Kyle Larson – 99.7

Top 10 Stage 1 & 2 Points Earned at Dover
Four Races

Driver Points Earned
Kevin Harvick 56
Kyle Busch 54
Martin Truex Jr. 50
Brad Keselowski 36
Jimmie Johnson 31
Chase Elliott 31
Kyle Larson 30
Clint Bowyer 27
Joey Logano 19
Ryan Blaney 15

2018 Spring Dover Stage Finishes

Stage 1 Stage 2
1. Kevin Harvick 1. Kevin Harvick
2. Kyle Busch 2. Brad Keselowski
3. Brad Keselowski 3. Kyle Busch
4. Daniel Suarez 4. Jimmie Johnson
5. Kurt Busch 5. Clint Bowyer
6. Chase Elliott 6. Daniel Suarez
7. Clint Bowyer 7. Martin Truex Jr.
8. Jimmie Johnson 8. Ryan Blaney
9. Joey Logano 9. Chase Elliott
10. Ryan Blaney 10. Joey Logano

Top Five in Stage Points Earned in 2019 (9 Races)

Driver Stage Points Stage Wins
Joey Logano 116 4
Ryan Blaney 98 2
Kyle Busch 93 5
Kevin Harvick 84 2
Brad Keselowski 71 2

View All Drivers

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Kevin Harvick
Pete Pistone: Ryan Blaney
Tyler Burnett: Kyle Busch
Kenneth Lee: Kevin Harvick

Driver Notes – Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Dover

Chase Elliott is the latest winner at Dover. He’s only finished outside the top five once in six starts and that was a 12th-place finish in this event last year. This year Elliott has one pole (Bristol) and an average finish of 10.5 in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Martin Truex Jr. finished 15th last fall at Dover to snap a streak of five consecutive top 10s, which includes a win in the 2016 fall race. Truex is tied for the third-best average finish (7.0) in the four races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package. He won the last race with the rules package at Richmond.

Daniel Suarez has yet to finish outside the top 10 in four starts at Dover. Last in this event, he scored his best finish at the 1-mile track, third. Suarez, who has a 6.8 average finish, will be making his first track start as a member of Stewart-Haas Racing. This season, Suarez has posted two top 10s and an average finish of 14.8 in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Kyle Larson has finished 12th or better in nine of his 10 starts at Dover. He won the pole last year for this event, but finished 10th after he had to start at the rear of the field after his car failed pre-race inspection. He participated in the Goodyear tire test last month at Dover. This season, Larson has posted one top 10 (Phoenix) and an average finish of 20.0 in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Jimmie Johnson finished 36th last fall due to a mechanical failure before the race even started. The finish snapped a streak of four consecutive top 10s, which included his 11th win at the track in this event in 2017. This season, Johnson has posted two top 10s and an average finish of 13.5 in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Denny Hamlin has finished ninth or better in five of the last six races at Dover, including a second-place finish last fall. Hamlin in the only driver that has finished in the top five in each of the four races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Erik Jones is coming off his first top 10 in for starts at Dover, fourth. Jones, who has a 12.2 average finish at Dover, is coming off his first finish inside the top 20 in the four races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package, 14th at Richmond.

Kyle Busch has not had much luck as of late in the spring race at Dover. His last top 10 in this event came in 2013. Busch has finished in the top 10 in the last nine fall races, including a win (third in 28 starts) in 2017. Busch leads all drivers in wins (2) and average finish (3.2) in the four races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Joey Logano is coming off his 11th top 10 in 20 starts at Dover, finishing third last fall. Logano has posted an average finish of 8.5 in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package with two consecutive top-three finishes.

Kevin Harvick has dominated the last two races at Dover, combining to lead 487 laps and a 3.5 average finish. He won this race last year for his second win at the track. Harvick has been solid in the four races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package with an 8.0 average finish.

Austin Dillon is coming off his second top 10 in the last five races at Dover. Dillon, who participated in the Goodyear tire test at Dover, has posted a 13.0 average finish this season in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Brad Keselowski led 108 and finished sixth last year in this event for his eighth top 10 in 18 starts at Dover. Keselowski, who won the fall race in 2012, has posted one win and an average finish of 11.2 in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Aric Almirola finished 11th and 13th, respectively, last season in his first two Dover starts as a member of Stewart-Haas Racing. He led 64 laps last fall, but was involved in a late-race incident after making contact with the wall on a restart. This season, Almirola has posted two top 10s and an 18.2 average finish in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Kurt Busch finished fifth in both races last season as a member of Stewart-Haas Racing. Busch, who won at Dover in the 2011 fall race with Team Penske, has a 17.1 average finish in the last 10 races at the 1-mile track. This season with Chip Ganassi Racing, Busch has posted an 8.0 average finish in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package, including a second-place finish at Bristol.

William Byron has posted a 16.5 average finish in two starts at Dover. His 14th-place finish in this event is his best finish. This season, Byron has posted an 18.8 average finish in the four races with the 750 horsepower rules package.