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Michigan Fantasy Racing Preview

Driver Averages | Laps Led Leaders | Driver Ratings | Past Winners

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Sunday’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway.

Who’s HOT at Michigan

  • Kevin Harvick has posted nine top fives in the last 12 races, including a win last August and five runner-up finishes.
  • Joey Logano has finished in the top 10 in 11 of the last 12 races, including two wins.
  • Chase Elliott has finished in the top 10 in each of his six starts, including three runner-up finishes.
  • Kyle Busch has finished in the top 10 in his last four starts.
  • Brad Keselowski has finished ninth or better in eight of the last 10 races.
  • Kyle Larson has won the last three of the last five races and posted a 9.6 average finish in that span.

Keep an Eye On at Michigan

  • Aric Almirola (9.3), Denny Hamlin (9.5), Kurt Busch (10.5), Daniel Suarez (12.2) and Jimmie Johnson/Alex Bowman (12.3) each rank in the top 10 in average finish in the six races (excluding Talladega) with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package this season.
  • Erik Jones and Clint Bowyer each have three top fives in the last four races (excluding Talladega) with the 550 horsepower package.
  • Martin Truex Jr., who scored his first win with the 550 package at Charlotte, has posted a 10.0 average finish and combined to lead 144 laps in the last four Michigan races. He also ranks third in stage points earned in the last four races at MIS.
  • Ryan Blaney has the fourth-best average running position and seventh-best driver rating in the last six races at Michigan.
  • Chris Buescher and William Byron have posted respective average finishes of 10.0 and 12.7 in the last three races this season. Byron has won the pole and finished ninth in the last two races.
  • Austin Dillon finished 10th from the pole at the 2-mile Auto Club Speedway in March for his only top 10 with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Notes: Excluding Talladega, Michigan will mark the seventh race of the season with the 550 horsepower rules package with aero ducts…Atlanta featured the 550 package, but with no aero ducts…Teams will compete with the same combination of left- and right-side tires that were run at Texas in March…The pole position has produced the most winners (21) at Michigan…Kyle Larson was the last to win from the pole in this event in 2017.

Best Average Finish at Michigan

Last # of Races Driver Average Finish
Two Races Kevin Harvick 1.5
Four Races Kyle Busch 6.0
Six Races Chase Elliott 5.3
*Eight Races Brad Keselowski 7.9
*Ten Races Brad Keselowski 7.4

*Must have competed in every race in that span

Laps Led Leaders at Michigan

Last # of Races Driver Laps Led
Two Races Kevin Harvick 157
Four Races Kevin Harvick 157
Six Races Kevin Harvick 190
Eight Races Kevin Harvick 268
Ten Races Kevin Harvick 331

Click Here to view all laps led leaders at Michigan over the past 10 races.

Michigan Loop Data Stat Leaders (Last Six Races)

Average Running Pos. Laps in Top 15
1. Kevin Harvick – 6.8 1. Denny Hamlin – 1,055
2. Brad Keselowski – 7.8 2. Brad Keselowski – 1,039
3. Joey Logano – 8.8 3. Joey Logano – 994
4. Ryan Blaney – 9.0 4. Chase Elliott – 973
5. Denny Hamlin – 9.0 5. Kevin Harvick – 959
Fastest Laps Run Driver Rating
1. Martin Truex Jr. – 149 1. Kevin Harvick – 117.3
2. Kevin Harvick – 129 2. Kyle Larson – 109.1
3. Kyle Busch – 95 3. Brad Keselowski – 106.7
4. Kyle Larson – 84 4. Chase Elliott – 104.5
5. Chase Elliott – 77 5. Joey Logano – 104.1

Top 10 Stage Points Earned at Michigan
Four Races 

Driver Points Earned
Kevin Harvick 59
Kyle Busch 47
Martin Truex Jr. 43
Ryan Blaney 40
Brad Keselowski 33
Kyle Larson 32
Clint Bowyer 32
Kurt Busch 29
Denny Hamlin 24
Erik Jones 15

2018 June Michigan Race Stage Finishes

Stage 1 Stage 2
1. Ryan Blaney 1. Kevin Harvick
2. Kyle Larson 2. Clint Bowyer
3. Clint Bowyer 3. Kurt Busch
4. Kevin Harvick 4. Kyle Busch
5. Denny Hamlin 5. Paul Menard
6. Brad Keselowski 6. Ryan Blaney
7. Kurt Busch 7. Brad Keselowski
8. William Byron 8. Jamie McMurray
9. Joey Logano 9. Erik Jones
10. Aric Almirola 10. William Byron

Top Five in Stage Points Earned in 2019 (14 Races)

Driver Stage Points Stage Wins
Joey Logano 148 5
Kevin Harvick 135 3
Brad Keselowski 125 4
Kyle Busch 123 5
Ryan Blaney 122 2

View All Drivers

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Brad Keselowski
Pete Pistone: Kevin Harvick
Tyler Burnett: Kyle Larson
Kenneth Lee: Kyle Larson

Driver Notes – Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Michigan

Chase Elliott has finished ninth or better in his six starts at Michigan, including two second-place finishes in 2016. Excluding Talladega where Elliott won, his 7.5 average finish in the six races with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package this season ranks second among all drivers. Elliott has finished fourth in last three races with the 550 package.

Kevin Harvick is coming off his second win in 36 starts at Michigan. His win last August was his fifth top five in the last seven races. Excluding Talladega, Harvick has posted a 10.2 average finish in the six races with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package. He finished fourth at the 2-mile Auto Club Speedway for one of four top 10s with the 550/aero ducts package.

Kyle Busch has the best average finish (6.0) in the last four races at Michigan. Busch’s lone win at Michigan came in the 2011 August race. Excluding Talladega, Busch ranks third in average finish (8.0) in the six races with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package, which includes a win at the 2-mile Auto Club Speedway.

Kurt Busch has finished 12th or better in seven of the last eight races at Michigan, including a win in this event in 2015. This season with Chip Ganassi Racing, Busch has posted five finishes of 11th or better in the six races (excluding Talladega) with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Brad Keselowski has finished ninth or better in eight of the last 10 races at Michigan. This season, Keselowski has posted four top-three finishes, including a win at Kansas, in the six races (excluding Talladega) with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Kyle Larson has recorded an average finish of 13.2 in 10 starts at Michigan that includes three straight wins. This season in the six races (excluding Talladega) with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package, Larson has posted a

Denny Hamlin has finished in the top 10 in three of the last five races at Michigan. His last of two wins at the track came in this event in 2011. This season, Hamlin has posted four top 10s in the races with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Erik Jones has posted an average finish of 11.0 in his four starts at Michigan. This season, Jones has recorded three top five finishes with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Ryan Blaney has finished in the top 10 in his last two starts at Michigan. Blaney’s only top 10 with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package this season came at the 2-mile Auto Club Speedway where he finished fifth.

Joey Logano has finished in the top 10 in 11 of the last 12 races at Michigan, including two wins. Excluding Talladega, Logano leads all drivers with an average finish of 7.3 in the six races with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package, including a win at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Martin Truex Jr. has posted a 10.0 average finish and led 144 laps in his last four starts at Michigan. Excluding Talladega, Truex has recorded an average finish of 13.8 in the six races with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package, including a win at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

Austin Dillon scored his four top 10s at Michigan in his last seven starts. Dillon’s only top 10 (10th) with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package this season came at the 2-mile Auto Club Speedway where he won the pole.

Aric Almirola is coming off his first top 10 (seventh) in 13 starts at Michigan. This season, Almirola ranks third among drivers in average finish (9.3) that have competed in all six races (excluding Talladega) with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Ryan Newman scored his last of nine top 10s in 35 Michigan starts in the 2017 August race. Excluding Talladega this season, Newman has yet to post a top 10 in the six races with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Jimmie Johnson scored his last of 13 top 10s at Michigan in this event in 2017. He won this race in 2014. Excluding Talladega, Johnson has finished in the top 10 in three of the last four races this season with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.