Getty Images
Joey Logano and Kevin Harvick each have posted a 4.0 average finish in the last six races at Texas Motor Speedway. (Photo: Getty Images)

Texas Fantasy Racing Preview


Driver Averages | Laps Led Leaders | Driver Ratings | Past Winners

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Sunday’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway.

Who’s HOT at Texas

  • Kevin Harvick has finished in the top 10 in the last nine races and has the best average finish (2.0) in the four races since the track was repaved, which included re-profiling of Turns 1 and 2. He also won the last two fall races and ranks first in stage points earned.
  • Joey Logano has posted a 4.8 average finish in the last four races.
  • Martin Truex Jr. has finished in the top 10 in seven of his last eight starts and has combined to lead 364 laps in that span (156 since track was repaved).
  • Kyle Busch led 116 laps last year in this event en route to his third win in his last 11 starts. Busch also has two wins and an average finish of 2.7 in the six races this season.
  • Ryan Blaney and Kurt Busch have posted respective average finishes of 6.2 and 8.2 in the four races since the track was repaved.
  • Chase Elliott, who is the top Chevrolet driver in the points (9th) so far, has posted a 7.2 average finish in six starts.

Keep an Eye On at Texas

  • Brad Keselowski has finished first, second and third, respectively, in the three races with the 550 horsepower rules package. His win came at Atlanta Motor Speedway, a race that did not utilize the aero ducts.
  • Erik Jones has finished in the top 10 in his last three Texas starts, including consecutive fourth-place finishes.
  • Denny Hamlin and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. have posted respective average finishes of 8.5 and 10.0 in the two races with the 550 horsepower with aero ducts rules package this season.
  • Aric Almirola has finished ninth or better in the last five races this season.
  • Clint Bowyer, who finished ninth in this event last year, has posted a 9.5 average finish in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks this season (one package with aero ducts).
  • Jimmie Johnson has won six of the last 13 races at Texas. However, he has not finished in the top 10 in the last eight races at 1.5-mile tracks.
  • Kyle Larson, who ranks fifth in stage points at Texas, has finished 12th in the three races with the 550 horsepower package this season and led 142 laps at Atlanta Motor Speedway, a race that did not use the aero ducts.

Notes: Texas will mark the fourth race of the season with the 550 horsepower rules package and third with the aero ducts…This weekend will mark the fifth race at Texas since the track was repaved and reconfigured in Turns 1 and 2…Teams will run the same tire combination that was used in the race last November…The third starting position has produced the most winners at Texas (8) with Kevin Harvick winning from that position in the last two fall races.

*Best Average Finish at Texas

Last # of Races Driver Average Finish
Two Races Kevin Harvick 1.5
Four Races Kevin Harvick 2.0
Six Races Kevin Harvick/Joey Logano 4.0
Eight Races Kevin Harvick 3.6
Ten Races Kevin Harvick 7.3

*The best average finish is based off a driver entered in the race who has competed in every race during that time span.

Laps Led Leaders at Texas

Last # of Races Driver Laps Led
Two Races Kevin Harvick 264
Four Races Kevin Harvick 379
Six Races Kevin Harvick 380
Eight Races Kevin Harvick 487
Ten Races Brad Keselowski 500

Click Here to view all laps led leaders at Texas over the past 10 races.

Texas Loop Data Stat Leaders (Last Six Races)

Average Running Pos. Laps in Top 15
1. Kevin Harvick – 4.8 1. Kevin Harvick – 1,916
2. Joey Logano – 6.1 2. Joey Logano – 1,781
3. Martin Truex Jr. – 9.2 3. Chase Elliott – 1,751
4. Chase Elliott – 9.7 4. Martin Truex Jr. – 1,616
5. Kurt Busch – 10.0 5. Kurt Busch – 1,598

Fastest Laps Run Driver Rating
1. Kevin Harvick – 259 1. Kevin Harvick – 123.7
2. Martin Truex Jr. – 182 2. Martin Truex Jr. – 111.5
3. Kyle Busch – 179 3. Joey Logano – 111.0
4. Ryan Blaney – 120 4. Ryan Blaney – 100.5
5. Kyle Larson – 99 5. Kyle Busch – 99.3

Click Here to view the Top 10 Driver Ratings since 2016.

Top 10 Stage 1 & 2 Points Earned at Texas
Four Races

Driver Points Earned
Kevin Harvick 60
Ryan Blaney 47
Kurt Busch 44
Martin Truex Jr. 40
Kyle Larson 35
Joey Logano 28
Erik Jones 27
Kyle Busch 24
Brad Keselowski 23
Chase Elliott 22

2018 Spring Texas Stage Finishes

Stage 1 Stage 2
1. Kevin Harvick 1. Kyle Busch
2. Kyle Busch 2. Kurt Busch
3. Kurt Busch 3. Joey Logano
4. Joey Logano 4. Erik Jones
5. Kyle Larson 5. Clint Bowyer
6. Clint Bowyer 6. Chase Elliott
7. Jamie McMurray 7. Brad Keselowski
8. Brad Keselowski 8. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
9. Chase Elliott 9. Denny Hamlin
10. Erik Jones 10. Aric Almirola

Top Five in Stage Points Earned in 2019 (6 Races)

Driver Stage Points Stage Wins
Kevin Harvick 69 2
Joey Logano 68 1
Ryan Blaney 63 2
Kyle Busch 59 4
Denny Hamlin 58 0

View All Drivers

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Ryan Blaney
Pete Pistone: Kevin Harvick
Tyler Burnett: Kyle Busch
Kenneth Lee: Kevin Harvick

Driver Notes – Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Texas

Kevin Harvick is the only driver that has finished in the top 10 in each of the last nine races at Texas Motor Speedway. He leads all drivers with a 2.0 average finish in the four races since TMS was repaved and reconfigured, which includes two wins in that span. Harvick led 177 laps en route to the win last fall, but was penalized for an infraction with the spoiler. Harvick has the fourth-best average finish (4.0) in the two races with the 550 horspower with aero ducts rules package.

Joey Logano has the second-best average finish (4.8) in the four races since Texas Motor Speedway was repaved and reconfigured. His best finish (third) in that span came in the 2017 spring race and the 2018 fall race after combining to lead 92 laps. Logano won the first race of the season with the 550 horspower rules package with aero ducts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. He finished second in the next race with the rules package at Auto Club Speedway to give him a series leading 1.5 average finish in those two races.

Ryan Blaney ranks second in laps led (188) and third in average finish (6.2) in the four races since Texas Motor Speedway was repaved and reconfigured. He finished fifth at Auto Club Speedway to lower his average finish to 13.5 in the two races with the 550 horsepower rules package with aero ducts.

Chase Elliott has the fifth-best average finish (8.5) in the four races since Texas Motor Speedway was repaved and reconfigured. His worst finish – and only outside the top 10 – in six overall starts is 11th in this event last year. Elliott finished ninth in the first race of the season at a 1.5-mile track with 550 horsepower rules package with aero ducts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. He finished 11th at Auto Club Speedway to give him a 10.0 average finish in the two races with this weekend’s rules package.

Erik Jones has finished in the top 10 in his last three starts at Texas Motor Speedway with a pair of fourth-place finishes in the last two. He led 64 laps in this event last year. Jones’ best finish of the season with the 550 horsepower rules package with aero ducts came at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, 13th.

Kurt Busch has finished in the top 10 in each of the four races since Texas Motor Speedway was repaved and reconfigured. His 8.2 average finish in that span ranks fourth among all drivers. Busch, who is making his first Texas start with Chip Ganassi Racing, has the fifth-best average finish in the two races with the 550 horsepower with aero ducts rules package that includes a fifth-place finish at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Kyle Busch scored his third win at Texas Motor Speedway in this event last year. The win marked his only top 10 in the four races since TMS was repaved and reconfigured. Busch has the second-best average finish in the two races with the 550 horsepower with aero ducts rules package that includes a win at Auto Club Speedway. He is also the only driver to lead more than 100 laps (147) in the two races so far with the full 550 package.

Martin Truex Jr. has finished ninth or better in seven of the last eight races at Texas Motor Speedway. He failed to lead a lap last season at Texas and finished 37th in this event after a right-front tire went down while running second. Truex is tied for the sixth-best average finish (8.0) in the two races with the 550 horsepower with aero ducts rules package in 2019.

William Byron finished 10th in this event last year for one of his four career top 10s in the Monster Energy Cup Series. He went on to finish 16th in the fall for a 13.0 average finish in two starts at Texas Motor Speedway. Byron has finished 16th and 15th, respectively, in the first two races with the 550 horsepower with aero ducts rules package.

Brad Keselowski has posted a 14.0 average finish in the four races since Texas Motor Speedway was repaved and reconfigured. Keselowski has the third-best average finish (2.5) in the two races with the 550 horspower with aero ducts rules package this season. He finished second at Las Vegas Motor Speedway and won at Atlanta Motor Speedway, a race without the aero ducts.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has posted a 15.5 average finish in the four races since Texas Motor Speedway was repaved and reconfigured. His best finish in that span came last fall, 11th. Stenhouse finished sixth in the first race of the season with the 550 horsepower with aero ducts rules package at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Bubba Wallace has posted a 16.5 average finish in two starts at Texas Motor Speedway that includes an eighth-place finish in this event last fall. Wallace’s best finish in the two races with the 550 horsepower with aero ducts rules package came at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, 26th.

Jimmie Johnson captured his seventh win at Texas Motor Speedway in this event in 2017. He has two finishes outside the top 25 in his last three starts at the track. Johnson has an 18.0 average finish and has yet to lead a lap in the two races with the 550 horsepower with aero ducts rules package.

Alex Bowman has made seven starts at Texas Motor Speedway with last year’s two starts being the only since the track was repaved and reconfigured. He finished 28th and 14th, respectively, in 2018. Bowman’s best finish in the two races with the 550 horsepower with aero ducts rules package came at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, 11th.

Aric Almirola finished eighth last fall to lower his average finish to 18.2 in the four races since Texas Motor Speedway was repaved and reconfigured. Almirola has an 8.0 average finish in the two races this season with the 550 horsepower rules package with aero ducts. He’s also finished ninth or better in the last five races this season.