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Who’s strongest statistically for Round of 8?

Racing Insights is back with NASCAR Insights stats focused on the entire Round of 8 tracks. By looking at performances on similar tracks, Racing Insights has come up with ratings for each driver in speed, long-run speed, passing, defense and restarts to see who’s set up well for the upcoming semifinal-round races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, Talladega Superspeedway and Martinsville Speedway.

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What we’ve done in the chart below is total up those numbers and order the drivers from lowest to highest (with the lowest being the best or the most likely to do well in this round). Six of the eight title-eligible drivers rank the highest. While Joe Gibbs Racing teammates Denny Hamlin and Chase Briscoe rank the lowest of their playoff counterparts.

Briscoe ranks 14th among the entire field for the Round of 8 ratings, but take that with a grain of salt as the four-year Cup veteran has turned into one of the best drivers in the field since the second half of the season. Las Vegas, Martinsville and Talladega were all early-year tracks and since the spring race at Kansas, Briscoe and the No. 19 team have gone on a tear with a pair of victories, six Busch Light Pole Awards and top-10 finishes in five of the six playoff races so far.

MORE: Playoff hub page |  Check your Playoff Grid Challenge score

On the flip side is Ryan Blaney, who ranks first in speed, long-run speed and passing for the next three tracks. It would come as no surprise if Blaney were to pull off the impressive feat of his Team Penske teammate, Joey Logano, to sweep an entire round (2015, Charlotte, Kansas, Talladega). Blaney is a three-time winner at Talladega and has won the last two playoff elimination races at Martinsville. Speaking of Logano, he ranks first in defense for this round and is pretty consistent among the pack as he ranks top 10 in every category — most notably, fifth in long-run speed.

The playoff drivers are tightly packed together, meaning it will take perfect execution to reach the Championship 4. The biggest differentials among the Round of 8 are restarts, all coming from JGR drivers as Briscoe (12th), Hamlin (13th) and Christopher Bell (15th). Besides that, you can throw a blanket over everyone else and there’s no telling who could break through and punch their ticket to Phoenix.

Check out the full list to see what jumps out at you that could be interesting for the Round of 8:

*Denotes playoff driver

Driver Speed Long-Run Passing Defense Restarts Total
Ryan Blaney* 1 1 1 5 6 14
Kyle Larson* 2 3 5 3 2 15
William Byron* 3 6 6 7 1 23
Chase Elliott* 8 7 3 2 5 25
Joey Logano* 9 5 7 1 7 29
Christopher Bell* 5 4 2 8 15 34
Tyler Reddick 6 12 4 10 4 36
Denny Hamlin* 4 2 11 9 13 39
Bubba Wallace 10 11 8 11 3 43
Josh Berry 7 8 12 12 10 49
Austin Cindric 11 9 13 6 14 53
Ross Chastain 16 15 10 4 11 56
Alex Bowman 12 10 15 15 9 61
Chase Briscoe* 13 13 19 16 12 73
Ryan Preece 20 21 9 19 8 77
Brad Keselowski 17 14 18 13 18 80
Chris Buescher 15 16 22 14 17 84
Carson Hocevar 14 20 14 29 20 97
Ty Gibbs 18 19 16 27 22 102
AJ Allmendinger 19 17 20 24 26 106
Kyle Busch 25 28 17 17 19 106
Zane Smith 21 18 28 20 27 114
Daniel Suárez 23 26 23 18 25 115
Michael McDowell 24 24 25 31 16 120
Noah Gragson 28 23 29 21 21 122
Erik Jones 22 29 21 23 28 123
Austin Dillon 26 25 24 25 29 129
John Hunter Nemechek 27 27 26 28 23 131
Shane van Gisbergen 30 22 31 30 34 147
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 31 32 30 22 33 148
Justin Haley 29 30 27 33 32 151
Todd Gilliland 32 31 32 26 30 151
Riley Herbst 33 34 35 34 24 160
Ty Dillon 34 35 33 35 31 168
Cole Custer 35 33 34 32 35 169
Cody Ware 36 36 36 36 36 180