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Homestead Fantasy Racing Preview

Driver Averages | Laps Led Leaders | Driver Ratings | Past Winners

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Sunday’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Who’s HOT at Homestead-Miami

  • Kevin Harvick is the only driver that has finished in the top 10 in each of the last 11 races, including a win in 2014.
  • Martin Truex Jr. has posted a 1.5 average finish in the last two races, including a win in 2017.
  • Kyle Busch has a 3.2 average finish in the last four races, including a win in 2015.
  • Denny Hamlin leads all drivers in poles (3) and wins (2).
  • Defending race winner Joey Logano has a 3.8 average finish in the last four races.
  • Kyle Larson has led the most laps (374) in the last four races and has a 5.8 average finish in that span.

Keep an Eye On at Homestead-Miami

  • Alex Bowman ranks third in average finish (9.3) in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks this season. He won at Chicagoland with the same tire combination that will be used this weekend.
  • Aric Almirola (11.3), Chase Elliott (11.3), Kurt Busch (11.7) and William Byron (12.3) each rank in the top 10 in average finish among drivers that have competed in all 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.
  • Erik Jones (4.0), Brad Keselowski (5.0), Ryan Blaney (9.5), Jimmie Johnson (10.0) and Austin Dillon (10.0) each rank in the top 10 in average finish in the two races this season (Chicagoland and Darlington) that used the same tire combination that will be utilized this weekend.

Notes: Excluding Talladega and Daytona, Homestead-Miami will mark the 17th race of the season with the 550 horsepower rules package with aero ducts..Atlanta featured the 550 package, but with no aero ducts…Homestead-Miami will also mark the 11th race of the season at a 1.5-mile track…Teams will use the same tire combination that was utilized at Chicagoland and Darlington…The second starting position has produced the most winners at Homestead-Miami with four…Martin Truex Jr. was the last to win from the second spot in 2017…Kurt Busch was the last driver to win from the pole in 2002, but it came on the old track configuration.

*Best Average Finish at Homestead-Miami

Last # of Races Driver Average Finish
Two Races Martin Truex Jr. 1.5
Four Races Kevin Harvick 3.0
Six Races Kevin Harvick 3.8
Eight Races Kevin Harvick 4.9
Ten Races Kevin Harvick 4.5

Laps Led Leaders at Homestead-Miami

Last # of Races Driver Laps Led
Two Races Kyle Larson 190
Four Races Kyle Larson 324
Six Races Kyle Larson 325
*Eight Races Kyle Busch 313
*Ten Races Kyle Busch 314

*The laps led total is based off a driver entered in the race who has competed in every race during that time span.

Homestead-Miami  Loop Data Stat Leaders (Last Three Races)

Average Running Pos. Laps in Top 15
 1. Kevin Harvick – 3.4  1. Kevin Harvick – 799
 2. Kyle Busch – 4.6  2. Joey Logano – 799
 3. Joey Logano – 4.7  3. Kyle Busch – 785
 4. Kyle Larson – 5.1  4. Chase Elliott – 765
 5. Martin Truex Jr. – 7.2  5. Denny Hamlin – 761
Fastest Laps Run Driver Rating
 1. Kyle Larson – 171  1. Kyle Larson – 124.6
 2. Kevin Harvick – 84  2. Kevin Harvick – 122.7
 3. Kyle Busch – 79  3. Joey Logano – 117.8
 4. Martin Truex Jr. – 58  4. Kyle Busch – 115.3
 5. Joey Logano – 44  5. Martin Truex Jr. – 107.0

Top 10 Stage 1 & 2 Points Earned at Homestead-Miami
Two Races

Driver Points Earned
Kyle Larson 39
Kevin Harvick 34
Kyle Busch 28
Martin Truex Jr. 28
Joey Logano 20
Brad Keselowski 17
Kurt Busch 14
Denny Hamlin 12
Aric Almirola 10
Chase Elliott 7

2018 Spring Stage Finishes at Homestead-Miami

Stage 1 Stage 2
1. Kevin Harvick 1. Kyle Larson
2. Kyle Larson 2. Kevin Harvick
3. Kyle Busch 3. Joey Logano
4. Joey Logano 4. Martin Truex Jr.
5. Martin Truex Jr. 5. Aric Almirola
6. Denny Hamlin 6. Kyle Busch
7. Aric Almirola 7. Kurt Busch
8. Erik Jones 8. Denny Hamlin
9. Brad Keselowski 9. Jimmie Johnson
10. Kurt Busch 10. Clint Bowyer

Top Five in Stage Points Earned in 2019 (35 Races)

Driver Stage Points Stage Wins
Joey Logano 354 11
Kevin Harvick 310 6
Kyle Busch 277 11
Martin Truex Jr. 276 8
Denny Hamlin 259 6

View All Drivers

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Kevin Harvick
Pete Pistone: Kevin Harvick
Tyler Burnett: Martin Truex Jr.
Kenneth Lee: Martin Truex Jr.

Driver Notes – Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Homestead-Miami

Kevin Harvick is the only driver that has finished in the top 10 in each of the last 11 races at Homestead-Miami. He’s finished fourth or better in the last five, including a win for the championship in 2014. This season, Harvick has the second-best average finish (8.7) in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks and won the last at Texas. Excluding Talladega, Harvick has the best average finish (3.4) in the last five races with the 550 horsepower rules package. He also ranks fifth in average finish (9.0) and first in laps led (132) in the two races (Chicagoland and Darlington) this season that used the same tire combination that will be utilized this weekend.

Joey Logano won this race and the championship last season after leading 80 laps. The win was his fourth consecutive finish of sixth or better at Homestead-Miami. This season, Logano ranks fourth in average finish (9.8) in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks, including a win in the spring at Las Vegas. Excluding Talladega, Logano has the second-best average finish (9.2) in the last five races with the 550 horsepower rules package. He also ranks fourth in average finish (8.5) in the two races (Chicagoland and Darlington) this season that used the same tire combination that will be utilized this weekend.

Kyle Larson leads all drivers with 324 laps led in the last four races at Homestead-Miami. He also leads all drivers in stage points (39) in the last two races and driver ratings in the last three. Three of the last four races at HMS have resulted in a top-five finish for Larson. He also ranks first in average finish (2.0) and sixth in laps led (51) in the two races (Chicagoland and Darlington) this season that used the same tire combination that will be utilized this weekend.

Chase Elliott has posted a 7.7 average finish in three starts at Homestead-Miami. He’s yet to lead a lap, but has finished fifth and seventh, respectively, in his last two starts. This season, Elliott is tied with Aric Almirola for the seventh-best average finish (11.3) in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks. Excluding Talladega, Elliott has finished ninth or better in three of the last four races with the 550 horsepower rules package.

Denny Hamlin has finished in the top 10 in five of the last six races at Homestead-Miami, including a win in 2013. He leads all drivers with a 3.3 average start in the last six races that includes three poles. Hamlin is one of three drivers that have scored multiple wins at a 1.5-mile tracks this season. Excluding Talladega, his win at Kansas last month is one of five top 10s in the last eight races with the 550 horsepower rules package.

Kyle Busch has finished sixth or better in the last four races at Homestead-Miami, including a win in 2015 that gave him the championship. Busch ranks fifth in average finish (10.5) in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks and has finished in the top 10 in the last two. Excluding Daytona and Talladega, Busch has posted the sixth-best average finish (10.1) in the 16 races this season with the 550 horsepower rules package with aero ducts. Busch also led 118 laps at Darlington with the tire combination that will be used this weekend.

Brad Keselowski has finished seventh or better in five of the last six races at Homestead-Miami. This season, Keselowski has a 14.5 average finish in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks, but posted two wins in the spring at Atlanta and Kansas. Keselowski does have the third-best average finish (5.0) in the two races (Chicagoland and Darlington) this season that used the same tire combination that will be utilized this weekend.

Jimmie Johnson has finished in the top 10 in four of the last six races at Homestead-Miami, including a win in 2016 that gave him the championship. This season, Johnson has finished in the top 10 in five of the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks. He has a 10.0 average finish in the two races (Chicagoland and Darlington) this season that used the same tire combination that will be utilized this weekend.

Kurt Busch finished 10th last year, driving for Stewart-Haas Racing, for his fourth finish of 13th or better in the last five races at Homestead-Miami. This season, Busch has posted seven top 10s, including a win at Kentucky, in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks driving for Chip Ganassi Racing. Busch also has posted a 10.0 average and ranks third in laps led (94) in the two races (Chicagoland and Darlington) this season that used the same tire combination that will be utilized this weekend.

Martin Truex Jr. has posted a 1.5 average finish in his last two starts at Homestead-Miami, including a win in 2017 that gave him the championship. This season, Truex has two wins and a series-leading 8.3 average finish in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks. Excluding Talladega, Truex has posted a 4.3 average finish in the last three races with the 550 horsepower rules package.

Ryan Newman has finished in the top 10 in two of the last five races at Homestead-Miami with Richard Childress Racing. This season with Roush Fenway Racing has posted two top 10s in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Austin Dillon has finished 11th in his last two starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway. Dillon won the pole and finished 10th at Chicagoland in June (same tire combination that will be used this weekend) for his only top 10 in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.

Paul Menard recorded his only top 10 in 13 starts at Homestead-Miami in 2014 when he was a member of Richard Childress Racing. This season with Wood Brothers racing, Menard has yet to score a top 10 in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Clint Bowyer finished eighth last season for his fifth top 10 in the last eight races at Homestead-Miami. This year, Bowyer has posted five top 10s and an average finish of 13.7 in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished 15th in 2017 for his best finish in seven starts at Homestead-Miami. This season, Stenhouse Jr. has posted two top 10s and an average finish of 16.2 in the 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Bubba Wallace finished 21st in his first start at Homestead-Miami Speedway in 2018. This season, Wallace has yet to finish inside the top 20 at a 1.5-mile track (10 races).