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Martin Truex Jr. has won the last two races at Kentucky and his teammate Kyle Busch has a 5.0 average finish in the eight races at the 1.5-mile track. (Photo: Getty Images)

Kentucky Fantasy Racing Preview

Driver Averages | Laps Led Leaders | Driver Ratings | Past Winners

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Saturday night’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway.

Who’s HOT at Kentucky

  • Martin Truex Jr. has won the last two races after combining to lead 326 laps on the current track surface.
  • Kyle Busch (two wins on old configuration) has finished in the top five in the last two races and led 112 laps from the pole in 2017.
  • Kevin Harvick is the only driver that has finished in the top 10 in each of the last six races.
  • Brad Keselowski is a three-time winner, including the first race on the new configuration in 2016.
  • Kyle Larson, Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones and Joey Logano each have finished in the top 10 in the last two races since an overlay of asphalt was added.

Keep an Eye On at Kentucky

  • Hendrick Motorsports teammates Alex Bowman (7.8), Chase Elliott (8.2), Jimmie Johnson (8.4) and William Byron (10.6) rank second, third, fourth and ninth, respectively, in average finish among all drivers that have competed in the five races at 1.5-mile tracks with the aero ducts and 550 horsepower rules package.
  • Denny Hamlin (11.7), Kurt Busch (13.3), Aric Almirola (14.0) and Ryan Newman (15.3) each rank in the top 10 in average finish among drivers that have competed in all three Kentucky races since the track was reconfigured in Turns 1-2.
  • Daniel Suarez has a 9.5 average finish in the four races this season that used this weekend’s right-side tire.
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has finished 12th or better in the last three races at 1.5-mile tracks and has a 10.0 average finish in the five that used the aero ducts.

Notes: This will be the fourth race since Kentucky was reconfigured and the third on the current asphalt…Traction compound will be used on the track…Teams will run the same left-side tire code that was used in last year’s race…The right-side combination is the same that was used at Las Vegas, Texas, Kansas and Michigan this season…The pole position has produced the most winners (3) with Martin Truex Jr. the last in 2018…Toyota has won the last two races and Chevrolet has yet to win at Kentucky.

Best Average Finish at Kentucky

Last # of Races Driver Average Finish
Two Races Martin Truex Jr. 1.0
Four Races Kyle Busch 5.5
Six Races Kyle Busch 4.8
Eight Races Kyle Busch 5.0

Laps Led Leaders at Kentucky

Last # of Races Driver Laps Led
Two Races Martin Truex Jr. 326
Four Races Martin Truex Jr. 372
Six Races Brad Keselowski 374
Eight Races Kyle Busch 549

Kentucky Loop Data Stat Leaders (Last Three Races)

Average Running Pos. Laps in Top 15
1. Martin Truex Jr. – 2.8 1. Martin Truex Jr. – 791
2. Kevin Harvick – 4.0 2. Kevin Harvick – 791
3. Kyle Busch – 4.7 3. Kyle Busch – 791
4. Erik Jones – 8.9 4. Kyle Larson – 620
5. Kyle Larson – 11.3 5. Kurt Busch – 608
Fastest Laps Run Driver Rating
1. Martin Truex Jr. – 218 1. Martin Truex Jr. – 139.9
2. Kyle Busch – 96 2. Kevin Harvick – 119.4
3. Kevin Harvick – 72 3. Kyle Busch – 116.5
4. Kyle Larson – 51 4. Erik Jones – 99.2
5. Ryan Blaney – 34 5. Brad Keselowski – 96.0

Top 10 Stage Points Earned at Kentucky
Two Races 

Driver Points Earned
Martin Truex Jr. 40
Kyle Busch 35
Kevin Harvick 30
Kyle Larson 17
Ryan Blaney 15
Matt Kenseth 13
Clint Bowyer 12
Jamie McMurray 11
Erik Jones 11
Kurt Busch 8

2018 Kentucky Stage Finishes

Stage 1 Stage 2
1. Martin Truex Jr. 1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Kevin Harvick 2. Clint Bowyer
3. Kyle Busch 3. Ryan Blaney
4. Ryan Blaney 4. Kevin Harvick
5. Paul Menard 5. Kyle Larson
6. Clint Bowyer 6. Clint Bowyer
7. Daniel Suarez 7. Kurt Busch
8. Kyle Larson 8. Joey Logano
9. Aric Almirola 9. Erik Jones
10. Chase Elliott 10. Paul Menard

Top Five in Stage Points Earned in 2019 (18 Races)

Driver Stage Points Stage Wins
Joey Logano 184 7
Kevin Harvick 168 4
Brad Keselowski 146 4
Chase Elliott 143 2
Kyle Busch 132 5

View All Drivers

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Martin Truex Jr.
Pete Pistone: Martin Truex Jr.
Tyler Burnett: William Byron
Kenneth Lee: Kyle Busch

Driver Notes – Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Daytona

Kyle Busch has finished in the top 10 in seven of his eight starts at Kentucky, including two wins (2011, 2015). His 549 laps led leads all drivers. This season, Busch has posted a 13.6 average finish in the five races with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package at 1.5-mile tracks. His best finish at a 1.5-mile track this season is third, accomplished at both Las Vegas and Charlotte.

Erik Jones has finished sixth and seventh, respectively, in his two starts at Kentucky. Jones has earned stage points in three of the four (1 and 2) stages at Kentucky for a total of 11 points. Jones has finished seventh or better in three of the last four races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Kevin Harvick is the only driver that has finished in the top 10 in each of the last six races at Kentucky. Harvick started on the pole in 2016 on points and led 128 laps but a late stop for fuel derailed his chances of a win. That was the only time Harvick has led at Kentucky. Harvick is tied for the fifth-best average finish (9.8) with Martin Truex Jr. in the five races at 1.5-mile tracks this season with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Martin Truex Jr. has won the last two races at Kentucky and combined to lead 326 laps in that span on the current track surface. He also leads all drivers with a 4.0 average finish in the three races since Kentucky was reconfigured. Truex Jr. is tied for the fifth-best average finish (9.8) with Kevin Harvick in the five races at 1.5-mile tracks this season with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package. He’s finished in the top 10 in the last two races at 1.5-mile tracks, including a win at Charlotte.

Brad Keselowski leads all drivers with three wins at Kentucky with the last coming in 2016. Last year, Keselowski led 38 laps en route to a third-place finish for his sixth top 10 in the eight races. He’s finished in the top five in two of the last three races this season at 1.5-mile tracks, including a win at Kansas.

Kurt Busch has finished in the top 10 in five of his eight starts at Kentucky, including a sixth-place finish last season. This season with Chip Ganassi Racing, Busch has posted four top 10s in the six races at 1.5-mile tracks and an average finish of 12.2 in the five intermediate races with the aero ducts.

Joey Logano has finished in the top 10 in five of the eight races at Kentucky, including the last two on the current track surface. This season, Logan leads all driver with a 7.6 average finish in the five races at 1.5-mile tracks with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package, which includes a win at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Ryan Newman has three top fives in eight starts at Kentucky with the last coming in 2016, the first race when the track was reconfigured. This season with Roush Fenway Racing, Newman has posted an 18.2 average finish in the five races at 1.5-mile tracks with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Ryan Blaney has finished in the top 10 and scored 15 stage points in the last two races at Kentucky on the current track surface. Blaney is coming off his first top 10 this season at a 1.5-mile track, finishing sixth at Chicagoland.

Chase Elliott finished third in 2017 for his only top 10 in three starts at Kentucky. This season, Elliott holds the third-best average finish (8.2) in the last five races at 1.5-mile tracks with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Paul Menard finished 11th in his first Kentucky start with the Wood Brothers last season. The finish was his best, and forth top 15, in eight starts. This season, Menard has posted an 18.6 average finish in the five races at 1.5-mile tracks with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package.

Denny Hamlin has scored three top fives in eight starts at Kentucky with the last coming in 2017. This season, Hamlin has posted an 11.8 average finish in the five races at 1.5-mile tracks with the 550 horsepower/aero ducts rules package, including a win at Texas.

Daniel Suarez has posted a 16.5 average finish in two starts ate Kentucky with his best finish coming last season, 15th. Suarez has posted one top five this season at 1.5-mile tracks, third at Texas.

Clint Bowyer recorded his only top 10 at Kentucky in 2013 when he raced for Michael Waltrip Racing. His last two finishes of 13th and 12th, respectively, have come with Stewart-Haas Racing. Bowyer’s best finish at a 1.5-mile track this season is second at Texas.

Bubba Wallace has finished 11th and 27th, respectively, in his two starts at Kentucky. Wallace’s best finish this season at a 1.5-mile track is 23rd at Texas.