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Richmond Fantasy Racing Preview

Driver Averages | Laps Led Leaders | Driver Ratings | Past Winners

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Saturday night’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway.

Who’s HOT at Richmond

  • Kyle Busch leads all drivers in wins (6) and average finish (6.9).
  • Joey Logano has finished in the top 10 in the last nine of the last 10 races, including two wins.
  • Denny Hamlin has led 269 laps and posted a 5.7 average finish, with one win, in the last seven races.
  • Martin Truex Jr. has finished in the top 10 in four of the last six races and combined to lead 675 laps in the last five.
  • Kevin Harvick has finished in the top five in seven of the last nine races, including two runner-up finishes.
  • Brad Keselowski has posted a 7.9 average finish dating back to his win in the 2014 September race.
  • Kurt Busch, winner of the 2015 spring race (day race), has posted an 9.1 average finish in the last nine races.
  • Kyle Larson has posted a 7.2 average finish in his last four starts, which includes a win in the 2017 September race.

Keep an Eye On at Richmond

  • Jimmie Johnson has finished in the top 10 in seven of the last nine races at Richmond.
  • Ryan Blaney (3.7), Clint Bowyer (8.3) and Chase Elliott (9.0) each rank in the top 10 in average finish in the three races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package.
  • Aric Almirola and Daniel Suarez each have two top 10s in the three races with the 750 horsepower rules package.
  • Erik Jones has posted a 10.0 average finish in his last three Richmond starts.
  • Paul Menard and Ryan Newman each have a top-finish in one of the two short-track races this season.

Notes: This weekend will mark the fourth race of the season with the 750 horsepower rules package with no aero ducts…Teams will run a new tire set-up at Richmond…This is the only track at which teams will run either of these two tire codes…The pole position has produced the most race winners (24) at Richmond…Denny Hamlin was the last driver to win from the pole in the 2016 September race.

*Best Average Finish at Richmond

Last # of Races Driver Average Finish
Two Races Kyle Busch 1.0
Four Races Joey Logano 5.2
Six Races Denny Hamlin 5.7
Eight Races Kyle Busch* 5.7
Ten Races Joey Logano 5.4

*Missed the 2015 spring race due to an injury.

Laps Led Leaders at Richmond

Last # of Races Driver Laps Led
Two Races Martin Truex Jr. 284
Four Races Martin Truex Jr. 482
Six Races Martin Truex Jr. 675
Eight Races Martin Truex Jr. 675
Ten Races Brad Keselowski 698

*Missed the 2015 spring race due to an injury.

Click Here to view all laps led leaders at Richmond over the past 10 races.

Richmond Loop Data Stat Leaders (Last Six Races)

Average Running Pos. Laps in Top 15
 1. Martin Truex Jr. – 6.0  1. Kyle Busch – 2,270
 2. Kyle Busch – 6.5  2. Brad Keselowski – 2,223
 3. Kevin Harvick – 6.7  3. Kevin Harvick – 2,203
 4. Brad Keselowski – 7.2  4. Martin Truex Jr. – 2,202
 5. Denny Hamlin – 8.4  5. Denny Hamlin – 2,136
Fastest Laps Run Driver Rating
 1. Martin Truex Jr. – 259  1. Martin Truex Jr. – 114.9
 2. Brad Keselowski – 199  2. Kevin Harvick – 109.8
 3. Kevin Harvick – 184  3. Kyle Busch – 109.6
 4. Denny Hamlin – 161  4. Brad Keselowski – 106.1
 5. Kyle Busch – 156  5. Denny Hamlin – 105.2

Top 10 Stage 1 & 2 Points Earned at Richmond
Four Races

Driver Points Earned
Martin Truex Jr. 48
Brad Keselowski 38
Kevin Harvick 38
Joey Logano 36
Kyle Larson 31
Aric Almirola 30
Clint Bowyer 28
Kurt Busch 25
Kyle Busch 21
Chase Elliott 20

2018 Spring Richmond Stage Finishes

Stage 1 Stage 2
1. Joey Logano 1. Joey Logano
2. Aric Almirola 2. Clint Bowyer
3. Kurt Busch 3. Aric Almirola
4. William Byron 4. Kurt Busch
5. Clint Bowyer 5. William Byron
6. Kyle Busch 6. Kyle Busch
7. Chase Elliott 7. Ryan Newman
8. Austin Dillon 8. Brad Keselowski
9. Martin Truex Jr. 9. Martin Truex Jr.
10. Kevin Harvick 10. Kevin Harvick

Top Five in Stage Points Earned in 2019 (8 Races)

Driver Stage Points Stage Wins
Joey Logano 95 3
Ryan Blaney 91 2
Kyle Busch 80 4
Kevin Harvick 69 2
Denny Hamlin 68 1

View All Drivers

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Brad Keselowski
Pete Pistone: Joey Logano
Tyler Burnett: Joey Logano
Kenneth Lee: Kyle Larson

Driver Notes – Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Richmond

Denny Hamlin has finished sixth or better in six of the last seven races at Richmond, including a win in the 2016 September race. That win was his third in 25 overall starts. Hamlin finished third in the last two spring races after combining to lead 65 laps. This season, Hamlin has finished fifth in each of the three races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Joey Logano is a two-time winner of the spring race at Richmond with the last coming in 2017. Logano, who led 92 laps last season en route to a fourth-place finish in this event, has finished eighth or better in the last six spring events. He is the only driver that has recorded points in each stage in the last four races at Richmond. Logano led 146 laps and finished third last weekend at Bristol Motor Speedway to lower his average finish to 10.7 in the three races with the 750 horsepower rules package this season.

Kyle Larson has finished seventh or better in four of the last five races at Richmond, including a win in the 2017 September race. Larson’s only top-15 finish in the three races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package came at ISM Raceway (Phoenix), sixth.

Kevin Harvick has finished in the top five in seven of the last nine races at Richmond. His last of three wins at the track came in this event in 2013 when he was driving for Richard Childress Racing. Harvick battled back from pass-thru penalty at the start of the Bristol race to finish 13th, which raised his average finish to 9.3 in the three races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Brad Keselowski has finished 11th or better, including five top 10s, in the last seven races at Richmond. He led 110 laps in this event in 2017 en route to a second-place finish. Keselowski’s lone Richmond win came in 2014 with a dominating performance in the September race, leading 383 laps, from the pole. Keselowski also dominated this year’s spring race at Martinsville Speedway, the second race of the season with the 750 horsepower rules package. He led 40 laps last week at Bristol and was in contention for the win up until he was black flagged on the final restart.

Kyle Busch has finished in the top 10 in six of the last seven races at Richmond, including wins in both races last season. His six overall wins leads all drivers. This season, Busch has posted a 1.7 average finish in the three races with the 750 horsepower rules package, including two wins.

Jimmie Johnson has finished 11th or better in the last nine races at Richmond, including top 10s in the last three races. Johnson’s last of three wins at the track came in the 2008 September race. This season, Johnson has finished in the top 10 in two of the three races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Kurt Busch is a two-time Richmond winner with his last coming in the 2015 spring race after dominating that day, leading 291 laps. Busch, who has finished in the top 10 in six of the last seven races in 2019, will make his first Richmond start with Chip Ganassi Racing. This season, Busch has the fourth-best average finish (7.0) in the three races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Martin Truex Jr. has finished in the top 10 in five of the last eight races at Richmond. Truex has combined to lead 675 laps in the last five races, 421 laps more than second ranked Denny Hamlin in that span. He has three stage wins and leads all drivers with 48 stage points at Richmond. Truex, who will make his first Richmond start with Joe Gibbs Racing, has posted a 9.0 average finish with no laps led in the three races this season with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Daniel Suarez has posted an 11.5 average finish in four starts at Richmond. He finished 10th in this event last year. Suarez is coming off two consecutive top 10s with the 750 horsepower rules package. This weekend will mark his first Richmond start with Stewart-Haas Racing.

Chase Elliott has finished in the top 10 in the last three races at Richmond, including two top fives last season. Elliott is tied with Martin Truex Jr. for the sixth-best average finish (9.0) in the three races with the 750 horsepower rules package this season.

Aric Almirola is coming off his second top five in 14 starts at Richmond. Last weekend, Almirola was swept up in an early accident at Bristol and finished last. The 37th-place finish raised his average finish to 16.7 in the three races with the 750 horsepower rules package in 2019.

Austin Dillon scored his first top 10 in 10 starts at Richmond last September. Dillon has finished 11th (Martinsville) and 14th (Bristol), respectively, in the last two races with the 750 horsepower rules package.

Alex Bowman finished 12th last September for his best finish in six starts at Richmond. Bowman’s best finish, and only top 20, in the three races with the 750 horsepower rules packages is 14th at Martinsville.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. scored his last of two top 10s at Richmond in this event in 2017 with a fourth-place finish. Stenhouse’s best finish, and only top 20, in the three races with the 750 horsepower rules packages is 13th at ISM Raceway (Phoenix).