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Clinch Scenarios at ISM Raceway

It’s elimination time at ISM Raceway in Phoenix this weekend, with the Championship 4 field being set for all three NASCAR national series.

Here’s a look at the clinching scenarios across the board:

Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series

Any of the six drivers would advance with a victory. (Martin Truex Jr. and Kevin Harvick have already clinched.) And the highest standing driver in the points standings earns the fourth and final playoff position. If a driver other than the eight Championship-eligible wins, then the top two positions in points would advance. Should there be a tie in points, the advantage goes to the driver who scored the highest finish in this three-race round (at Martinsville, Texas and Phoenix).

Kyle Busch (4,113 points, +22) — Would clinch with 53 points earned and a new winner. If there is a repeat winner (or a win by Joey Logano) he would clinch a position having earned 34 points.

Joey Logano (4,111 points, +20) — Would clinch with 55 points earned and a new winner. If there is a repeat winner or a Kyle Busch victory, he would need to earn only 36 points.

Denny Hamlin (4,091 points, -20) — Would clinch with a win. Could clinch on points, with help.

Ryan Blaney (4,088 points, -23) — Would clinch with a win. Could clinch on points, with help.

Kyle Larson (4,088 points, -23) — Would clinch with a win. Could clinch on points, with help.

Chase Elliott (4,033 points, -78) — Must win to earn a Championship 4 position.

NASCAR Xfinity Series

Below are clinch scenarios at ISM Raceway for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoff drivers still vying for a spot in the Championship 4 Round in Miami. As is well known, any driver can clinch with a win.

Cole Custer (3,135 points, +52) — Can clinch on points with 22 points and a new winner. If there is a repeat winner (or a win by Tyler Reddick or Justin Allgaier), he could clinch on points with four points.

Tyler Reddick (3,119 points, +36) — Can clinch on points with 38 points and a new winner. If there is a repeat winner (or a win by Cole Custer or Justin Allgaier), he could clinch on points with 20 points.

Justin Allgaier (3,101 points, +18) — Can clinch on points if there is a repeat winner (or a win by Cole Custer or Tyler Reddick) with 38 points. He could also clinch on points with a new winner and help.

Chase Briscoe (3,083 points, -18) — Can clinch on points with help.

Michael Annett (3,073 points, -28) — Can clinch on points with help.

Austin Cindric (3,070 points, -31) — Can clinch on points with help.

Noah Gragson (3,054 points, -47) — Can clinch on points with both a repeat winner and help.

NASCAR Gander Outdoors Truck Series

No driver has clinched a spot in the Championship 4. As is well known, any driver can clinch with a win. Here’s the current points standings and cutline picture.

Brett Moffitt (3,107 points, +45)

Stewart Friesen (3,097 points, +35)

Ross Chastain (3,082 points, +20)

Austin Hill (3,072 points, +9)

Matt Crafton (3,062 points, -9)

Tyler Ankrum (3,056 points, -15)