Phoenix Fantasy Racing Preview

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Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick have posted average finishes of 3.0 and 3.7, respectively, in the last three races. (Photo: Getty Images)

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Driver Averages | Laps Led Leaders | Driver Ratings| Loop Data | Past Winners| Past Pole Winners | Tire Notes

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Sunday's AAA Texas 500 at Texas Motor Speedway.

Who's HOT at Phoenix
• Kevin Harvick has won five of the last eight races and has a 2.1 average finish in that span.
• Kyle Busch, who led 114 laps in the spring, has finished fourth or better in his last four starts.
• Joey Logano has finished in the top 10 in six of the last eight races, including a win last fall.
• Denny Hamlin has finished in the top 10 in his last four starts.
• Brad Keselowski has posted a 9.5 average finish in the 12 races since the track was repaved and reconfigured.
• Kyle Larson has posted a 2.5 average finish in his last two starts.
• Chase Elliott, who led 106 laps in the spring, has posted a 9.7 average finish in his three starts.

Keep an Eye On at Phoenix 
• Kurt Busch has finished in the top 10 in five of the last six races at Phoenix.
• Martin Truex Jr., who finished 11th in the spring at Phoenix, has the best average finish (4.9) in the eight races in the playoffs.
• Rookies Daniel Suarez and Erik Jones each finished in the top 10 in the spring at Phoenix. Suarez a truck win at Phoenix and Jones has finished in the top 10 in all six of his XFINITY starts at the 1-mile track where he also has two truck victories.
• Ryan Blaney (13.7) and Jamie McMurray each rank in the top 10 in average finish among drivers that have raced in all three races at Phoenix with the current tire combination.
• Only five drivers have led more than 50 laps in the last three races at Phoenix with the current tire combination - Kyle Busch (189), Logano (140), Harvick (139), Elliott (106) and Matt Kenseth (55).
• Dale Earnhardt Jr. has finished eighth or better in six of his last eight starts, including a win in this event in 2015.
• Spring winner Ryan Newman (13.8), Jimmie Johnson (14.5) and Kasey Kahne (14.8) each rank in the top 10 in average finish among drivers that have raced in all 12 races since Phoenix was reconfigured and repaved.

*Best Average Finish at Phoenix

Last # of Races
Driver
Avg. Fin.
Kyle Busch/Kyle Larson 2.5
Kyle Busch/Kevin Harvick 3.3
Kevin Harvick 2.5
Kevin Harvick 2.1
Ten Races Kevin Harvick 3.1

* - The best average finish is based off a driver entered in the race who has competed in every race during that time span.

*Lap Leaders at Phoenix

Last # of Races
Driver
Laps Led
Joey Logano 140
Kevin Harvick 282
Kevin Harvick 770
Kevin Harvick 1,064
Ten Races Kevin Harvick 1,079

* - Must be entered in Sunday's race.

Phoenix Loop Data Stat Leaders (2005-2017, 25 Races)*

*Fastest Early in a Run
*Fastest Late in a Run
*Avg. Running Position
1. Chase Elliott
1. Kyle Larson
1. Chase Elliott - 6.6
2. Erik Jones
2. Chase Elliott
2. Jimmie Johnson - 8.4
3. Kyle Larson
3. Brad Keselowski
3. Kevin Harvick - 8.9
4. Austin Dillon
4. Austin Dillon
4. Erik Jones - 10.6
5. Brad Keselowski
5. Erik Jones
5. Kurt Busch - 10.8
 
 
 
*Laps in Top 15
*Quality Passes
*Driver Rating
1. Jimmie Johnson - 6,524
1. Kyle Busch - 675
1. Jimmie Johnson - 111.0
2. Kevin Harvick - 6,334
2. Jimmie Johnson - 660
2. Kevin Harvick - 110.3
3. Kyle Busch - 6,165
3. Ryan Newman - 651
3. Chase Elliott - 107.9
4. Kurt Busch - 5,632
4. Kurt Busch - 559
4. Kyle Busch - 99.7
5. Denny Hamlin - 5,240
5. Kevin Harvick - 547
5. Kurt Busch - 97.0

*Drivers Must be in the top 30 in points to be listed in the chart
*Fastest Early In a Run: Ranks each driver during first 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop. *Fastest Late In a Run: Ranks each driver during last 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Quality Passes: Passing a car running in the Top 15 while under a green flag.
*Driver Rating Formula combining the following categories: Wins, Finishes, Top-15 Finishes, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race.


For a look at all the Loop Data for Phoenix Click Here to view the Can-Am 500 Pre-Race Loop Data Book.

Playoff Drivers at Phoenix
Rank Driver Races Poles Wins Top Fives Top 10s DNFs Average Finish Driver Rating*
1 Martin Truex Jr 23 1 0 1 7 3 17.6 84.4
2 Kyle Busch 24 3 1 7 16 1 12.5 99.7
3 Kevin Harvick 29 1 8 13 18 0 9.9 110.3
4 Brad Keselowski 16 1 0 5 8 1 14.0 94.1
5 Denny Hamlin 24 2 1 10 14 0 10.8 95.1
6 Ryan Blaney 3 0 0 0 2 0 13.7 83.0
7 Chase Elliott 3 0 0 0 2 0 9.7 107.9
8 Jimmie Johnson 28 3 4 15 20 1 9.0 111.0

*Since 2005

Kevin Harvick

Season Loop Data Leaders
*Fastest Early in a Run
*Fastest Late in a Run
Avg. Running Position
1. Martin Truex Jr.
1. Martin Truex Jr.
1. Martin Truex Jr. - 7.4
2. Kyle Larson
2. Kyle Busch
2. Kyle Busch - 9.1
3. Kevin Harvick
3. Kyle Larson
3. Kevin Harvick - 9.9
4. Kyle Busch
4. Brad Keselowski
4. Kyle Larson - 10.1
5. Chase Elliott
5. Chase Elliott
5. Denny Hamlin - 10.6
 
 
 
Laps in Top 15
*Quality Passes
*Driver Rating
1. Martin Truex Jr. - 8,901
1. Chase Elliott - 2,142
1. Martin Truex Jr. - 115.7
2. Chase Elliott - 8,262
2. Jimmie Johnson - 2,001
2. Kyle Busch - 108.5
3. Kyle Larson - 8,154
3. Jamie McMurray - 1,962
3. Kevin Harvick - 102.5
4. Kyle Busch - 8,062
4. Kyle Larson - 1,917
4. Kyle Larson - 101.9
5. Kevin Harvick - 7,936
5. Ryan Blaney - 1,898
5. Brad Keselowski - 96.5

*Fastest Early In a Run: Ranks each driver during the first 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Fastest Early In a Run: *Fastest Late In a Run: Ranks each driver during last 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Quality Passes: Passing a car running in the Top 15 while under a green flag.
*Driver Rating: Formula combining the following categories: Wins, Finishes, Top-15 Finishes, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race.

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Denny Hamlin
Pete Pistone: Martin Truex Jr.
Robbie Mays: Brad Keselowski
Tyler Burnett: Kevin Harvick
John Singler: Matt Kenseth

Driver Notes - Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Phoenix

Kevin Harvick has finished sixth in the spring for his eighth consecutive top 10 at Phoenix, which includes five wins in that span. Harvick has not led a lap in his last two starts, but led 1,064 in the previous six races. He hold the second-best average finish (3.7) in the three races contested with the current tire combination.

Kyle Busch is the only driver that has finished in the top five in the last four races at Phoenix. He led a race-high 114 laps in the spring and finished third. He leads all drivers in average finish (3.0) and laps led (189) in the three races contested with the current tire combination. Busch also ranks second in laps led (479) since Phoenix was repaved and reconfigured.

Daniel Suarez started 27th and finished seventh in his first Phoenix start in the Cup Series in the spring. The finish was also the first of his current total of 12 career top 10s in 34 Cup starts.

Kyle Larson has posted a 2.5 average finish in his last two starts at Phoenix. He led three laps and finished second in the spring for his third top 10 in seven starts.

Kurt Busch snapped a streak of five consecutive finishes of seventh or better at Phoenix with a 25th-place finish in the spring. The finish came after the team had to swap out batteries for a voltage issue to go along with a speeding penalty on pit road. Busch, who has an 8.4 average start in the last eight races at Phoenix, will return in the same car (chassis No. 1032) that he finished fourth with at Richmond.

Chase Elliott has posted a solid 9.7 average finish in three starts at Phoenix. He led 106 laps in the spring and finished 12th.

Denny Hamlin is one of three drivers that have finished in the top 10 in each of the last four races at Phoenix. The only time he led in that span came last year in this event when he was out front for four laps. Hamlin's lone win at Phoenix came in the 2012 spring race, which marked the second race since the track was repaved and reconfigured.

Jamie McMurray has finished in the top 15 in six of the last seven Phoenix races, including a second-place finish in the 2015 spring race. 

Joey Logano scored his first win at Phoenix in this event last year after leading 58 laps. Logano has qualified in the top 10 in seven of the last eight races, including a pole in the spring. He led 82 laps in March, but finished 31 after a tire went down late in the race. The finish marked only his second outside the top 10 in the last eight races.

Brad Keselowski has the second best average finish (9.5) among all drivers that have competed in all 12 races since Phoenix was repaved and reconfigured. Keselowski finished fifth in the spring for his best finish in the three races with the current tire combination.

Ryan Newman is coming off his second win at Phoenix after leading six laps in the spring. The win lowered his average finish 12.0 in his seven track starts with Richard Childress Racing.

Erik Jones finished eighth in the spring for his first of 13 career top 10s in the Cup Series. In 2015, he competed in this event finishing 19th as a replacement driver for Matt Kenseth. 

Ryan Blaney finished 23rd in the spring to snap a streak of two consecutive top 10s at Phoenix.

Jimmie Johnson finished ninth in the spring for his first top 10 in the three Phoenix races with the current tire combination. The finish was also his sixth top 10 since Phoenix was reconfigured and repaved. Johnson's last of four wins at Phoenix came in this event in 2009.

Ty Dillon has posted a 19.3 average finish in three Cup starts at Phoenix. He's finished 15th and 16th, respectively, in his last two starts with Stewart-Haas Racing (2016 spring race) and his current team Germain Racing.

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