Texas Fantasy Racing Preview

Texas

Brad Keselowski and Martin Truex Jr. won the two races at 1.5-mile tracks this season. (Photo: Getty Images)

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Driver Averages | Lap LeadersDriver Ratings | Loop DataPast Winners | Past Pole Winners | Tire Notes

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Sunday's O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway.

Note: The O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 will be the first Cup race on Texas's newly repaved surface, which includes re-profiling of Turns 1 and 2 - Read More

Who's HOT at Texas
• Kyle Busch has finished in the top five in his last five starts, including a win in this event last year.
• Jimmie Johnson has won five of the last nine races.
• Kevin Harvick is the only active driver that has finished in the top 10 in each of the last five races.
• Joey Logano posted a 2.5 average finish in both races last season and led 178 laps last fall.
• Chase Elliott has finished in the top five in his two starts.
• Brad Keselowski (winner at a 1.5-mile track this season) has finished in the top five three times and combined to lead 361 laps in the last five races.
• Martin Truex Jr. (winner at a 1.5-mile track this season) has finished in the top 10 in his last four starts and combined to lead 207 laps in the two races last season.
• Dale Earnhardt Jr. (has yet to post a top 10 in 2017) has finished sixth or better in his last four starts.

Who to Keep an Eye On at Texas 
• Kyle Larson finished second in both races at 1.5-mile tracks this season.
• Austin Dillon, Ty Dillon, Logano, Erik Jones, Ryan Blaney and Harvick will each get extra track time this weekend as each of them will be competing in the XFINITY race. Both Cup and XFINITY will use the same tire set-up this weekend.
• Matt Kenseth (6.0), Kasey Kahne (8.0), Jamie McMurray (9.0) and Clint Bowyer (10.5) each rank in the top 10 in average finish at 1.5-mile tracks this season. 
• Denny Hamlin, a two-time Texas winner, captured his best finish so far this season at a 1.5-mile track, finishing sixth at Las Vegas.  
• Ryan Newman and Kurt Busch (has struggled in his last four starts this season) each finished in the top five last season at Kentucky, which was the first race on a new racing surface at that track.  

*Best Average Finish at Texas

Last # of Races
Driver
Avg. Fin.
Joey Logano 2.5
Jimmie Johnson 4.3
Jimmie Johnson 7.2
Jimmie Johnson 6.3
Ten Races Jimmie Johnson 5.3

* - The best average finish is based off a driver entered in the race who has competed in every race during that time span.

*Lap Leaders at Texas

Last # of Races
Driver
Laps Led
Martin Truex Jr. 207
Brad Keselowski 339
Brad Keselowski 446
Jimmie Johnson 580
Ten Races Jimmie Johnson 904

* - Must be entered in this weekend's race.

Texas Loop Data Stat Leaders (2005-2016, 24 Races)*

*Fastest Early in a Run
*Fastest Late in a Run
*Avg. Running Position
1. Kyle Busch
1. Kyle Larson
1. Chase Elliott - 8.6
2. Jimmie Johnson
2. Jimmie Johnson
2. Matt Kenseth - 9.1
3. Matt Kenseth
3. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
3. Jimmie Johnson - 10.3
4. Ryan Blaney
4. Matt Kenseth
4. Kyle Busch - 10.7
5. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
5. Denny Hamlin
5. Erik Jones - 11.2
 
 
 
*Laps in Top 15
*Quality Passes
*Driver Rating
1. Jimmie Johnson - 6,247
1. Dale Earnhardt Jr. - 979
1. Jimmie Johnson - 107.1
2. Matt Kenseth - 6,246
2. Denny Hamlin - 918
2. Matt Kenseth - 104.7
3. Dale Earnhardt Jr. - 5,784
3. Jimmie Johnson - 901
3. Kyle Busch - 102.4
4. Kyle Busch - 5,391
4. Kevin Harvick - 900
4. Chase Elliott - 100.8
5. Kevin Harvick - 5,296
5. Matt Kenseth - 871
5. Dale Earnhardt Jr. - 93.2

*Fastest Early In a Run: Ranks each driver during first 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop. *Fastest Late In a Run: Ranks each driver during last 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Quality Passes: Passing a car running in the Top 15 while under a green flag.
*Driver Rating: Formula combining the following categories: Wins, Finishes, Top-15 Finishes, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race.


For a look at all the Loop Data for Texas Click Here to view the O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 Pre-Race Loop Data Book. Click Here to view MRN's Season Loop Data page.

Brad Keselowski

Season Loop Data Leaders
*Fastest Early in a Run
*Fastest Late in a Run
Avg. Running Position
1. Kyle Larson
1. Chase Elliott
1. Chase Elliott - 5.1
2. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Brad Keselowski
2. Kyle Larson - 5.8
3. Chase Elliott
3. Jimmie Johnson
3. Brad Keselowski - 7.5
4. Joey Logano
4. Joey Logano
4. Martin Truex Jr. - 9.4
5. Kyle Busch
5. Kyle Busch
5. Joey Logano - 10.2
 
 
 
Laps in Top 15
*Quality Passes
*Driver Rating
1. Chase Elliott - 1,753
1. Kyle Larson - 422
1. Brad Keselowski - 113.8
2. Kyle Larson - 1,669
2. Joey Logano - 412
2. Kyle Larson - 113.3
3. Brad Keselowski - 1,569
3. Ryan Blaney - 403
3. Chase Elliott - 112.5
4. Martin Truex Jr. - 1,544
4. Chase Elliott - 363
4. Martin Truex Jr. - 106.4
5. Kyle Busch - 1,361
5. Jamie McMurray - 360
5. Joey Logano - 101.0

*Fastest Early In a Run: Ranks each driver during the first 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Fastest Early In a Run: *Fastest Late In a Run: Ranks each driver during last 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Quality Passes: Passing a car running in the Top 15 while under a green flag.
*Driver Rating: Formula combining the following categories: Wins, Finishes, Top-15 Finishes, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race.

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Martin Truex Jr. 
Pete Pistone: Joey Logano
Robbie Mays: Kyle Busch
Tyler Burnett: Chase Elliott
John Singler: Jimmie Johnson

Driver Notes - Ordered by Average Finish (Top 15) in the Last Five Races at Texas (Previous Track Surface)

Kyle Busch has finished in the top five in his last five starts at Texas, including a win in this event last spring. The win was his second in 22 overall starts. This season, Busch has yet to lead a lap or finish in the top 10 in the two races so far at 1.5-mile tracks.

Jimmie Johnson leads all drivers with six wins and 1,023 laps led at Texas. His last victory came in the 2015 fall race, which marked his third straight. This season, Johnson ranks fourth in laps led (21) in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks, but his best finish was 11th at Las Vegas.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. has finished sixth or better in five of his last six starts at Texas. He's yet to lead a lap in his last 10 starts. Earnhardt finished 16th at Las Vegas, which is his best finish in the two races at 1.5-miel tracks this season.

Chase Elliott has finished in the top five his two starts at Texas. His best finish came last fall, fourth. This season, Elliott has also finished in the top five in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Kevin Harvick is the only active driver that has finished in the top 10 in the last five races at Texas. Harvick has combined to lead 110 laps in that span, but only has led one lap in the last two races. Harvick, who led a race-high 292 laps at Atlanta this season, also led a race-high 128 laps at Kentucky last season, which is the last 1.5-mile track to recently get repaved and reconfigured. This weekend, Harvick will debut a new chassis (No. 1038) in the O'Reilly Auto Parts 500.

Brad Keselowski has finished in the top five in three of his last five starts at Texas. In the 2015 fall race he led a race-high 312 laps. This season, Keselowski has posted one win and a 3.0 average finish in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks. Last season, Keselowski led 75 laps and won at Kentucky Speedway, which is the last 1.5-mile track to recently get repaved and reconfigured. 

Martin Truex Jr. has finished ninth or better in his last four starts at Texas. He combined to lead 207 laps last season, which leads all drivers in that span. This season, Truex has posted one win, led 150 laps and posted a 4.5 average finish in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks. Last season, Truex led 75 laps and finished 10th at Kentucky Speedway, which is the last 1.5-mile track to recently get repaved and reconfigured. 

Jamie McMurray has posted three top 10s in his last five starts at Texas. This season, McMurray ranks eighth in average finish (9.0) in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Kurt Busch has finished in the top 10 in three of his last five starts at Texas. This weekend, Busch will return in the same chassis (No. 993) that he last finished 30th with at Las Vegas after experiencing electrical issues. Since Vegas, Busch has been in a slump, finishing 24th or worse.

Erik Jones finished 12th in his first Texas Cup start in 2015, driving for the suspended Matt Kenseth. This season, Jones has posted a 14.5 average finish in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks - finishing in the top 15 in both.

Joey Logano has finished in the top five in six of his last eight starts at Texas, including a win in this event in 2014. Last fall he led 178 laps and finished second. This season, Logano ranks fifth in average finish (5.0) in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Ryan Newman has posted a 15.3 average finish in his six Texas starts with Richard Childress Racing. Newman scored his first top 10 with the team last fall, 10th.

Denny Hamlin is coming off his 11th top 10 in 22 starts at Texas. Hamlin has two wins at the 1.5-mile track when he swept both events in 2010.

Kasey Kahne has finished eighth in three of his last four starts at Texas. This season, Kahne ranks seventh in average finish (8.0) in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks.

Matt Kenseth is coming off his 18th top 10 in 28 starts at Texas. Kenseth's last of two wins at the 1.5-mile track came in 2011 with Roush Fenway Racing. This season, Kenseth ranks sixth in average finish (6.0) in the two races at 1.5-mile tracks.

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