Driver Handicaps: Richmond

Richmond

Clint Bowyer and Matt Kenseth combined to lead 253 laps in the spring at Richmond. (Photo: Getty Images). (Photo: Getty Images)

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Driver Averages Loop Data eBook (pdf)Driver Ratings Past Winners | Chase Clinch Scenarios

To help you make your fantasy racing picks, MotorRacingNetwork.com's Jeff Wackerlin breaks down all the stats and information to help steer you toward Saturday night's Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond International Raceway.

Who's HOT at Richmond
• Defending race winner Clint Bowyer has posted a 3.3 average finish in his last three starts.
• Kyle Busch leads all drivers in wins (4) and average finish (6.5).
• Kevin Harvick is coming off his second win in the last four races.
• Jeff Gordon has finished third or better in four of the last eight races.
• Carl Edwards has led the most laps (330) in the last five races.
• Denny Hamlin has finished in the top 10 in five of the last seven races, including wins in this event in 2009 and 2010.

Who to Keep an Eye On at Richmond
• Hendrick Motorsports, Penske Racing, Michael Waltrip Racing, Stewart-Haas Racing and Germain Racing were among the teams that tested at Richmond last month.
• AJ Allmendinger, who tested the No. 55 Toyota last month at Richmond, will be back behind the wheel of the No. 47 Toyota this weekend.
• Dale Earnhardt Jr. has posted three top 10s in the four short-track races this season with the Gen-6 car.
• Matt Kenseth led the most laps (140) in the spring at Richmond in his first track start with Joe Gibbs Racing.
• Jimmie Johnson is looking to snap a streak of bad luck with his fifth win of the season at Richmond, a victory that would tie Matt Kenseth for the regular-season series lead.
• Juan Pablo Montoya led 67 laps and finished fourth in the spring at Richmond.
• Jeff Burton, who announced Wednesday that he will be leaving the No. 31 team at the end of the year, has finishes of sixth and fifth in his last two starts at Richmond.
• Mark Martin will be driving the same chassis that Tony Stewart posted an average finish of 3.5 and combined to lead 133 laps with in both races at Richmond last season.
• Paul Menard, who finished 13th in the spring at Richmond, has scored the fourth-most points in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car.

Note: Sprint Cup Series teams will be running the same left- and right-side tire codes that they have run at Richmond since 2011. In that five-race span, Clint Bowyer (7.6) and Edwards (8.0) have the top two average finishes. Edwards (330), Busch (307), Hamlin (240), Bowyer (219) and Harvick (218) are the top five in laps led.

Be sure to check back with MotorRacingNetwork.com for practice speeds on Friday.

Richmond Qualifying Facts

*Active Pole Leaders
*Best Starting Average
Races Won from Starting Pos.
1. Jeff Gordon - 5
1. Jeff Gordon - 7.8
Pole - 22 times
Mark Martin - 5
2. Denny Hamlin - 9.6
Top Five - 65 times
2. Denny Hamlin - 2
3. Mark Martin - 9.7
Top 10 - 90 times
Jimmie Johnson - 2 4. Ryan Newman - 11.4
Top 15 - 98 times
Brian Vickers - 2 5. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. - 12.0
Worst - 31st, one time

* - Must be entered in the Federated Auto Parts 400.

*Best Average Finish at Richmond

Last # of Races
Driver
Avg. Fin.
Two Races
Clint Bowyer
1.5
Four Races
Kevin Harvick
7.8
Six Races
Clint Bowyer
7.3
Eight Races
Kyle Busch
7.0
10 Races
Kyle Busch
7.2

* - The best average finish is based off a driver who has competed in every race during that time span.

Gen-6 Car Performers (25 Races)

Wins
Top Fives
Top 10s
1. Matt Kenseth - 5
1. Kyle Busch - 11
1. Jimmie Johnson - 15
2. Jimmie Johnson - 4
2. Jimmie Johnson - 9
Kyle Busch - 15
Kyle Busch - 4
3. Clint Bowyer - 8
2. Joey Logano - 14
4. Kevin Harvick - 2
Kasey Kahne - 8
Dale Earnhardt Jr. - 14
Kasey Kahne - 2
Joey Logano - 8
3. Clint Bowyer, Kevin Harvick - 13
Laps Led
Average Finish
Poles
1. Matt Kenseth - 1144
1. Clint Bowyer - 11.8
1. Denny Hamlin - 4
2. Jimmie Johnson - 1139
Jimmie Johnson - 11.8
2. Kyle Busch - 3
3. Kyle Busch - 1102
2. Carl Edwards - 12.8
3. Matt Kenseth - 2 
4. Kasey Kahne - 466
Kevin Harvick - 12.8
Jimmie Johnson - 2
5. Carl Edwards - 401
3. Kyle Busch - 13.7
3. 11 drivers with 1

Richmond Loop Data Stat Leaders (2005-2013, 17 Races)

*Fastest Early in a Run
*Fastest Late in a Run
Avg. Running Position
1. Denny Hamlin
1. Denny Hamlin
1. Denny Hamlin - 5.9
2. Kevin Harvick
2. Kyle Busch
2. Kevin Harvick - 7.1
3. Kyle Busch
3. Tony Stewart
3. Kyle Busch - 7.7
4. Clint Bowyer
4. Matt Kenseth
4. Clint Bowyer - 9.8
5. Jeff Gordon
5. Clint Bowyer
5. Ryan Newman - 11.7
Laps in Top 15
*Quality Passes
*Driver Rating
1. Kevin Harvick - 6310
1. Kevin Harvick - 575 
1. Denny Hamlin - 117.8
2. Kyle Busch - 5934
2. Ryan Newman - 510
2. Kyle Busch - 113.0
3. Denny Hamlin - 5221
3. Kyle Busch - 509
3. Kevin Harvick - 111.1
4. Ryan Newman - 5165
4. Clint Bowyer - 467
4. Clint Bowyer - 100.4
5. Clint Bowyer - 4771
5. Tony Stewart - 462
5. Tony Stewart - 96.5

*Fastest Early In a Run: Ranks each driver during the first 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Fastest Late In a Run: Ranks each driver during last 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Quality Passes: Passing a car running in the Top 15 while under a green flag.
*Driver Rating: Formula combining the following categories: Wins, Finishes, Top-15 Finishes, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race.


For a look at all the pre-race Loop Data for Richmond, view the Federated Auto Parts 400 Pre-Race Loop Data eBook (pdf)

Season Loop Data Leaders

*Fastest Early in a Run
*Fastest Late in a Run
Avg. Running Position
1. Matt Kenseth
1. Jimmie Johnson
1. Matt Kenseth - 8.9
2. Kasey Kahne
2. Kasey Kahne
2. Jimmie Johnson - 9.9
3. Jimmie Johnson
3. Brad Keselowski
3. Kyle Busch - 11.7
4. Kyle Busch
4. Kevin Harvick
4. Carl Edwards - 12.4
5. Brad Keselowski
5. Kyle Busch
5. Dale Earnhardt Jr. - 12.5
Laps in Top 15
*Quality Passes
*Driver Rating
1. Matt Kenseth - 5948
1. Dale Earnhardt Jr. - 1286
1. Matt Kenseth - 108.8
2. Kevin Harvick - 5576
2. Kurt Busch - 1220
2. Jimmie Johnson - 106.6
3. Jimmie Johnson - 5367
3. Martin Truex Jr. - 1174
3. Kyle Busch - 102.6
4. Kyle Busch - 5264
4. Matt Kenseth - 1150
4. Kasey Kahne - 99.0
5. Kasey Kahne - 5179
5. Joey Logano - 1136
5. Dale Earnhardt Jr. - 94.8

*Fastest Early In a Run: Ranks each driver during the first 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Fastest Late In a Run: Ranks each driver during last 25 percent of laps run since a pit stop.
*Quality Passes: Passing a car running in the Top 15 while under a green flag.
*Driver Rating: Formula combining the following categories: Wins, Finishes, Top-15 Finishes, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race.


MotorRacingNetwork.com Writer Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Clint Bowyer
Pete Pistone: Kyle Busch
Dustin Long: Clint Bowyer
John Singler: Kevin Harvick

Top 20 Driver Notes - Ordered by current standings
(All stats/notes are in regards to Richmond unless noted)

Jimmie Johnson: Finished 12th in April; Three-time winner; 13.1 average finish in the last 10 races; last top 10 (eighth) in this event came in 2010; Second among all drivers in laps led (346) in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 778) that he raced in the spring at Richmond.

Clint Bowyer: Defending race winner; Has finished seventh or better in six of the last eight races; Tested at Richmond last month; Leads all drivers with a 5.8 average finish in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 743) that he led 113 laps and finished second with in the spring at Richmond.

Kevin Harvick: Coming off third win in 25 starts; Winner of this event in 2011; 10.5 average finish in last 10 races; Will return in the same car he drove to victory at Richmond in April; He last finished seventh with the car at New Hampshire Motor Speedway in July.

Carl Edwards: Finished sixth in April; Has finished in the top 10 and led 427 laps in six of the last seven races; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 857) that he last finished eighth with at New Hampshire Motor Speedway in July.

Kyle Busch: Led 40 laps and finished 24th in April; Winner of the four previous spring races; 6.5 average finish in 17 starts; Last top 10 (sixth) in this event came in 2011; Third-best average finish (10.5) in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car.

Matt Kenseth: Led 140 laps and finished seventh in first track start with Joe Gibbs Racing in April; Posted one win and 10 top 10s in previous 26 starts with Roush Fenway Racing; First among all drivers in laps led (470) in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car.

Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Finished 10th in April; 8.7 average finish in last three starts; Defending race pole winner; Has posted three top 10s in 11 starts with Hendrick Motorsports; Last of three wins came in the 2006 spring race with Dale Earnhardt, Inc; Tested at Richmond last month; Sixth-best average finish (12.5) in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 721) that he tested and last finished 14th with at New Hampshire Motor Speedway in July.

Joey Logano: Tested at Richmond last month; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 853) that he finished third with in the spring in first Richmond start with Penske Racing; Fifth-best average finish (12.0) in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car; Only other top 10 (fourth) in nine starts came in this event in 2010 with Joe Gibbs Racing.

Greg Biffle: Finished 36th in spring; Only top 10 in last 13 starts came in this event last year, ninth place; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 856) that he last finished 15th with at New Hampshire in July.

Kurt Busch: Led 36 laps and finished ninth in the spring; Finish was eighth top 10 in 25 starts; Won this event in 2005 with Roush Racing.

Jeff Gordon: Two-time winner; Has finished third or better in four of the last eight races; Tested last month at Richmond; Finished 11th in April; Eighth-best average finish (13.8) in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car.

Kasey Kahne: Finished 21st in April; 12.7 average finish in three starts with Hendrick Motorsports; Tested at Richmond last month; Second-best average finish (7.0) in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car; Will debut a new car (chassis No. 815) in the Federated Auto Parts 400.

Martin Truex Jr.: Finished 17th in April; 21.3 average finish in seven starts with Michael Waltrip Racing; Tested at Richmond last month.

Ryan Newman: Finished 15th in April; Has finished eighth in this event the last two seasons; Won this race in 2003 with Penske Racing; Tested at Richmond last month; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 790) that he tested and raced in the spring at Richmond.

Brad Keselowski: Finished 33rd in April; Finish snapped streak of two consecutive top 10s; Tested at Richmond last month; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 845) that he last finished fourth with at New Hampshire Motor Speedway in July.

Jamie McMurray: Finished 26th in April; Best finish in seven starts with Earnhardt Ganassi Racing is 14th, twice.

Paul Menard: Finished 13th in April; Fourth-best average finish (11.8) in the four short-track races with the Gen-6 car; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 419) he raced in the spring at Richmond.

Aric Almirola: Finished eighth in April; Will return in the same car (chassis No. 837) that he raced in the spring at Richmond.

Juan Pablo Montoya: Led 67 laps and finished fourth in April; Finish was fourth top 10 in 13 starts.

Marcos Ambrose: Finished 42nd in April due to engine issues; Best finish (fifth) in nine starts came in this event in 2010; Will debut a new car (chassis No. 847) in the Federated Auto Parts 400.

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Untitled Document Richmond Driver Stats - Last 17 Races

Driver Races Avg Start Avg Finish Driver Rating
Denny Hamlin 14 9.6 8.1 117.8
Kyle Busch 17 12.4 6.5 113.0
Kevin Harvick 25 16.5 11.3 111.1
Clint Bowyer 15 13.5 9.1 100.4
Jeff Gordon 41 7.8 14.3 95.7
Mark Martin 55 9.7 12.4 92.2
Ryan Newman 23 11.4 11.8 91.1
Jimmie Johnson 23 12.7 16.3 90.9
Kurt Busch 25 20.0 17.9 90.0
Carl Edwards 18 12.6 14.4 88.9
Kasey Kahne 19 12.7 18.2 87.3
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 28 16.0 13.8 85.6
Jeff Burton 38 15.2 14.8 84.8
Juan Montoya 13 14.2 19.3 83.6
Matt Kenseth 27 20.8 16.2 83.6
Greg Biffle 22 18.7 17.2 80.4
Martin Truex Jr. 15 15.7 23.7 80.3
Brad Keselowski 8 12.3 20.5 76.4
Joey Logano 9 14.1 17.3 73.5
Marcos Ambrose 9 20.6 18.9 71.5
Jamie McMurray 21 23.8 23.3 71.4
A J Allmendinger 12 17.5 21.2 69.6
David Reutimann 13 17.7 23.2 67.4
Aric Almirola 3 21.0 20.0 66.9
R. Stenhouse Jr. 1 12.0 16.0 66.0
David Ragan 13 23.4 20.5 65.8
Brian Vickers 15 18.2 25.5 64.6
Casey Mears 21 22.4 24.2 63.4
Dave Blaney 25 24.6 25.7 60.4
Paul Menard 13 27.5 26.0 56.0
Reed Sorenson 11 27.5 25.6 55.6
Landon Cassill 6 24.5 26.7 52.3
J.J. Yeley 8 36.3 26.3 51.4
Travis Kvapil 13 29.6 26.3 50.1
David Gilliland 14 35.9 31.1 46.1
David Stremme 13 24.2 33.1 45.4
Danica Patrick 1 30.0 29.0 42.6
Mike Bliss 11 33.0 34.3 41.3
Michael McDowell 8 30.0 37.6 40.4
Tony Raines 12 31.8 33.2 37.4
Joe Nemechek 39 23.5 29.0 36.4
Josh Wise 3 33.3 36.0 35.1
Timmy Hill 1 42.0 34.0 29.9
Ryan Truex 0 - - -
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Richmond Green Flag Passes

Number of passes a driver had under green conditions in the last 17 races at Richmond.

Driver Green Flag Passes
Casey Mears 951
Jamie McMurray 934
Matt Kenseth 891
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 885
Carl Edwards 875
Tony Stewart 875
Jeff Burton 836
Ryan Newman 821
Kasey Kahne 817
Kurt Busch 772
Greg Biffle 765
Jimmie Johnson 763
Clint Bowyer 761
Kevin Harvick 761
Juan Pablo Montoya 737
David Ragan 733
Kyle Busch 723
Martin Truex Jr. 720
Jeff Gordon 678
Dave Blaney 660
David Reutimann 659
A J Allmendinger 653
Paul Menard 646
David Gilliland 629
Mark Martin 616
Brian Vickers 611
Reed Sorenson 556
Denny Hamlin 524
Travis Kvapil 502
David Stremme 500
Joey Logano 477
Marcos Ambrose 476
Brad Keselowski 425
Regan Smith 413
Joe Nemechek 328
Landon Cassill 307
J.J. Yeley 299
Tony Raines 200
Mike Bliss 196
Michael McDowell 194
Aric Almirola 173
Danica Patrick 21
Josh Wise 20
Timmy Hill 6

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